Concinna · A Federal Data Layer for Value-Based Care
The federal ground truth around every physician and market — seven years deep.
Prepared for agilon health · June 2026
What it is
A 3.11-billion-row governed data lake — 280 datasets, at physician grain.
216
Public data sources · 10 authorities
12,700+
Physician groups scored · 9-factor
328
Queryable analytic views
7 yr
Medicare depth · NPI × drug × procedure × year
9.5M
Providers · public · no PHI
The value to Agilon
Your data lives where you have contracts. We're the layer around it.
The federal ground truth on every physician and market — including the groups you haven't signed and the members you can't see. Additive, alongside the pipeline you've built. Not a replacement.
Your screening rubric, answered
The nine inputs you grade a group on — from public data, before the first call.
| 1 · MA Market Penetration | 50.9% | 6 · Group # of PCPs | 39 |
| 2 · MA Market Growth | +19% | 7 · Group MA RAF (proxy) | 0.91 → 3.92 |
| 3 · Payer Market Dynamics | lead ≈43% | 8 · Group MA Revenue (proxy) | $6.6M |
| 4 · Benchmark Rate | $1,236 | 9 · Group MA MedEx (proxy) | $5.2M + $25.0M Rx |
| 5 · Group MA Members (proxy) | ~14,500 | | |
All nine — worked live on a real 39-PCP independent group · every figure a live query · five run on the MFFS proxy the industry uses.
The differentiator · the RAF engine
An independent read on risk capture — from data no single source holds.
Where prescribing suggests chronic disease coding may not yet reflect — surfaced as opportunity, not audit. We don't see your coding; we point to where to look.
Market intelligence · your anchor market
Columbus, mapped from public data alone.
62%
MA penetration · now plateauing
$1,316
County benchmark PMPM
CVS · Humana · UHG
Payer mix, parent-level
29,878
Central Ohio Primary Care — largest independent panel in OH
agilon.runtalon.ai/columbus.html — read it against what you know cold.
The same lake serves your #1 margin lever
Post-acute steering — cost and quality, mapped.
57
Skilled-nursing facilities in Franklin County
Same county, same Medicare dollars — very different outcomes. The lake ranks every SNF, home-health agency and hospital in a market by cost and quality together — so high-cost episodes get steered to the right facilities. Inpatient and post-acute spend is the lever you've named; here it's served from public data.
The ranked target model
Every independent group, scored — with a filter for who's still uncaptured.
12,412
Independent PCP groups scored nationally
6 signals
Panel · chronic burden · VBC · independence · OIG-clean · geography
It independently surfaced your own partners — Pioneer, Toledo Clinic, COPC — before being told anything.
Across your whole P&L
Built around the levers you've named.
Risk capture
External RAF read · ~$900/member · 0.1 RAF
Part D
6-yr + RxHCC, ahead of Q3 reconciliation
Cost trend
External FFS benchmark by market
Contracting
Payer share × benchmark × Stars
Expansion
Underwrite a group before you sign
Population
Chronic burden, predicted by market
The honest boundary
An external reference layer — not a replacement.
- No patient data, no PHI — panel-level by design
- ~18-month claims lag — a baseline, not live claims
- No view into your contract rates or bids
- The RAF read is prescribing-implied — a screen, validated by a pilot
The ask
"Give us a panel you already have the coding for. We'll surface where risk looks uncaptured. You grade us."
One working session · on your data · an hour. If it doesn't earn its keep, you've lost nothing.
Beyond your current footprint
The same engine finds where you look next.
186
Independent groups scored in a single example market
screened
System- and competitor-owned filtered out automatically
1 day
A first-pass scan to a full market dossier
Point it at any market you're weighing — it ranks the independent, physician-owned panels and screens out the system-owned, so you walk in knowing the landscape. A working example is live at agilon.runtalon.ai/colorado.html
Concinna
Here to extend the advantage you've already built.
agilon.runtalon.ai · every figure reproducible live · powered by Talon AI LLC